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April 2014
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Snowmobiling

The AuSable Valley Snowmobile Association is done grooming for the season; the trails are shot. Plan to visit us this summer with your ORV’s and get a different perspective of the area!

General Membership Meetings – Our last meeting for the season is scheduled for April 3, 2014 at the Ramada Inn of Grayling starting at 7: pm.  Normally we meet in the upstairs Boardroom.   AVSA meetings are open to anyone who wishes to attend.

Mark your calendar AVSA’s first meeting for the 2014-2015 season is scheduled for September 4, 2014, brushing will begin in October and signing will is usally completed in early November.

Trail Activity Report –

  • Groomers have been running nearly daily since December
  • A major expense in grooming is fuel and this year it is averaging $2,000 weekly
  • Month of February grooming stats:

Miles Groomed – 2,616 miles

Volunteer hours Grooming – 190.5 hrs

Fuel cost for 3 Groomers – $10,836.72

Average Grooming Speed – 5.6 mph

  • 2013-2014 season totals will be published in the September 2014 Newsletter

Best season in years – for snow and the coldest! Burr!

Last Newsletter for the season - This will be the last newsletter for the 2013-2014 season, have a great summer and we hope to see you on the trails next winter.

Safe Riding – remember safe riding starts with you!  Ride sober!

 

I just off the phone with groomer driver Keith – he said they last groomed Sunday/Monday but if they were to continue grooming right now they’d just be making snow cones. He reported that trails are in fair condition with snirt and some bare spots that you can ride around. To help you decide if you want to come up and get one last ride in this winter, here is tv 9 & 10′s weather forecast…

Light snow has decided to develop for areas of the Northern L.P. thanks to Northeast winds off of Lake Huron but it is already on the way out. Today will be mostly to partly sunny with the most sun slowly working into the Central L.P. by mid afternoon. Highs today will be set early ranging from 10 to 20 degrees and winds staying out of the North/Northeast at 10-20mph. Wind chills will range from 5 to -15 degrees through today. Tonight skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy with temperatures falling well below zero for everyone. Lows will range from -15 to -4 degrees with winds out of the North/Northwest at 5-10mph.

Thursday will be mostly sunny and highs will rebound into the upper teens to mid 20s. Winds will also be much lighter. Friday will be windy with a chance for a light flurry/mixed shower for the U.P. and Northern L.P. Highs will be in the mid 30s to low 40s. Saturday will be cloudy with a chance for a light flurry and highs will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Sunday will be sunny with highs in the low teens to low 20s.

Monday will be clear to start but skies will turn cloudy and highs will be in the low 20s to low 30s. A chance for light snow in the evening hours. Tuesday will be windy with some light snow and possible mixed showers thanks to a low pressure system tracking across Lake Superior. Highs will be in the low 30s to low 40s.

-Meteorologist Michael Stevens

Snowmobile conditions are still being rated as good to very good. Groomers are still on their regular schedule. The sunny days may have some negative effect on the trails, and watch out for icy corners.

9 & 10 weather:

Some clouds are lingering for the Central L.P. but they will be out of here early this afternoon. Overall today will be full of sunshine across Northern Michigan with highs ranging from 11 to 21 degrees. If any clouds do develop today they will be along the Lake Huron shoreline but I don’t foresee to many new clouds developing today. Tonight will be clear as high pressure remains in control of our weather. Clear skies and light winds means cold temperatures set back in for Northern Michigan. Another night of below zero to just above zero temps. Winds will be light out of the Northeast at 5-10mph.

Thursday will be another sunny to mostly sunny day with highs in the low 20s to low 30s with light winds. Clouds will start to move in ahead of our next system for Friday afternoon which means temps won’t be nearly as cold Thursday night and Friday morning. Friday will start off quiet but light snow will start to move in for the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s! Nearly average for Northern Michigan!

Saturday will bring a few light snow showers in the morning hours but skies will clear for the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the lower to middle 20s. Sunday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the lower to upper 20s. Monday will bring clouds with a chance of some light snow. Highs will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Tuesday will be cloudy with some snow and highs will be in the mid 20s to low 30s.

-Meteorologist Michael Stevens

Trails are still being groomed and continue to be in fair to good condition.

Weather Report, 9 & 10:
* Wind chill advisories for the entire area until 12pm Thursday.  Winds chills could reach -20 or colder.  Bitter cold air is set to push into the region today and last through Friday. Highs will generally be in the single digits with below zero lows and a steady wind keeping wind chills well below zero. If heading out, dress in layers and cover all exposed skin!

**Winter Weather Advisories for counties along and west of I-75 until 3pm Thursday because of a weak clipper system that will bring gusty winds, brutal cold and 1-3″ of snow with an isolated 4″ mark in spots. Blowing and drifting snow and brutal wind chills will be a concern tonight and tomorrow.

We’ve seen some clearer skies and sunshine this morning but that will not last long.  Enjoy the sunshine while you can.  Clouds will move in this afternoon and a clipper system will move in bringing snow late this afternoon and into tonight.  Winds will be gusty today from the southwest at 10-25mph so blowing, drifting, and low visibility will be issues as this snow moves in.  Temperatures will be cold today with highs only in the single digits to mid teens.  Winds will make it feel even colder with most wind chills in the negatives.  Snow will continue tonight as winds remain strong to contribute continuing issues with visibility, blowing, and drifting.  Air temperatures tonight will be single digits on either side of 0 with wind chills well into the negatives.

Thursday will be the coldest day this week with highs only in the single digits and many areas of the U.P. struggling to reach positive numbers.  Winds will remain gusty so wind chills will remain in the negatives.  Lake effect snow will take over for Thursday.  Friday will start dry for most with snow moving in for the evening and overnight hours and highs in the single digits to mid teens.

Snow will continue for Saturday with highs in the teens to low 20s.  Sunday will see snow chances for our central lower counties with highs in the single digits to mid teens.  Monday will be mostly cloudy with highs in the teens to low 20s.  Teens to low 20s continue Tuesday with some more snowfall.

-Meteorologist Jessica Van Meter

The big rain/ice storm that was forecast turned out to be not as serious as predicted. Groomers are rating trails as fair to good with some thin spots from the warm temperatures and sun that we had earlier this week.

TV 9 & 10 weather: As of 9:30am we are seeing light to moderate snow take over Northern Michigan with winds out of the South at 20-40mph with gusts nearing 50mph. This will create many issues through the day and will turn light snow into near white out conditions. Temperatures are in the mid 20s to mid 30s but will fall into the low 20s to low 30s by this afternoon and evening. Today will be a windy day with some snow creating blowing and drifting conditions. Temps will fall through the day as cold air wraps around this very strong low pressure system. Snow totals will reach 2-4″ with isolated higher amounts by tonight and tomorrow morning for areas of the U.P. and West of I-75/US-127 in the Lower Peninsula. Winds today will be out of the South/Southwest at 20-40mph with gusts nearing 50mph. Tonight will bring partly to mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds and snow will start to wrap up by daybreak tomorrow. Overnight lows will be in the low double digits to upper teens. Winds will be out of the Southwest/West at 15-30mph.

Saturday will be windy with partly to mostly cloudy skies and just a chance for a light snow shower mainly in the Northern areas and near Lake Michigan. Some spots may catch some good sunshine especially closer to Lake Huron and inland for the Central L.P. Highs will be in the upper teens to mid 20s with gusty winds out of the West at 15-30mph. Sunday will be almost identical to Sunday except winds will be lighter with highs in the mid teens to mid 20s.

Monday will be mostly cloudy with some lake effect snow. Highs will range from 11 to 19 degrees. Tuesday will bring a chance for light snow with highs in the lower to upper teens. Wednesday and Thursday will both hold some snow with highs in the single digits to low teens! Cold air will return for late next week and next weekend!

-Meteorologist Michael Stevens

Trails are groomed and still in good shape. Stay tuned for information on how they make out after the projected storm passes.

TV 9 & 10 weather:

* As of 9:30am clouds are taking over Northern Michigan and wet heavy snow has moved into the Central L.P. but it changes over to rain/freezing rain very quickly. This will continue for areas of the Northern L.P. as well heading towards Noon. We will see some snow, rain and freezing rain this morning for areas of the Lower Peninsula but it will fizzle out before reaching the U.P. Temperatures this morning are in the mid teens to low 30s with winds out of the South at 5-10mph. The Eastern U.P. and Straits could catch some stray mixed showers and drizzle through the afternoon before the main part of this system arrives this evening. The main wave of this storm will arrive around 6pm for the Lower Peninsula giving us rain and freezing rain for evening commutes and then arriving by the late evening for the U.P. and Straits. Roads will turn very slick going into the night time hours and winds will start to pick up with gusts nearing 40-45mph going into tonight. Highs will be in the low 30s to low 40s this afternoon with winds out of the East/Southeast at 10-20mph.

Tonight will be a mess with rain, freezing rain and mixed showers until everything changes over to snow around 2am tomorrow morning. Winds will be out of the South/Southeast at 15-30mph with gusts nearing 40-45mph which will only add to the issues with some light ice accumulations. Some snow, gusty winds and slick roads will be the main issues tomorrow morning for commutes. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s.

Some snow will continue throughout the day Friday with just an inch or two for most of the Lower Peninsula while the U.P. will see 2-4″ with gusty winds reducing visibilities and drifting snow. Winds will slowly turn Northwest as Friday moves on with gusts of 40-45mph. Highs will be in the low 20s to low 30s as temps slowly fall through the day. Saturday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a slight breeze and some snow lingering around. Highs will be in the lower to middle 20s. Sunday will be mostly to partly sunny with a chance for a flurry. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s.

Monday will be cloudy with a chance for some lake effect snow. Highs will be in the low teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs ranging from 10 to 20 degrees. Wednesday will bring some light snow showers with highs in the mid single digits to mid teens.

-Meteorologist Michael Stevens

 

 AuSable Valley Snowmobile Association

February 2014 Newsletter

 General Membership Meetings– are held on the First Thursday of every month beginning in October running through April at the Ramada Inn of Grayling starting at 7: pm.  AVSA meetings are open to anyone who wishes to attend.

Our next meeting will be March 6, 2014.

Only one more meeting is scheduled for the 2013 – 2014 on April 3, 2014

 Trail Activity Report –

  • Groomers have been running nearly daily since December
  • Fuel cost a major expense in grooming is averaging $2,000 weekly for the season
  • Month of January grooming stats:

Miles Groomed – 1984

Volunteer hours Grooming – 336

Average Grooming speed – 5.9 mph

Fuel cost for 3 Groomers – $9259.

Old Man Winter Weather – Stats from NOAA

  • Snow depth ranging from 20 to 26 inches
  • Total snow fall to date ranging from 100 to 120 inches

Best season in years – The following are a few comments from a recent newspaper article:

  • Early snow has kept plenty of snowmobiles buzzing through Grayling and Crawford County. The area had one of its busiest snowmobiling weekends of the season, especially with some people having an extra day off of work for the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday.
  • Ben Smith, from Port Hope, said the trails were in good shape after he and a group of riders made a stop at a local eating establishment.
  • Mark Skelton, of Mt. Pleasant, has a cottage on Higgins Lake, but always makes it a priority to stop in the community.  “It’s some of the best riding I’ve seen in a couple of years,” Skelton said. “I probably put more miles on my sled by Christmas-time than I have in the past two years. That’s how good the snow has been.”
  • Dan Huelsenbeck, of Ft. Wayne, Ind., said “Out in Camp Grayling, you can get into some virgin powder and it’s nice it’s been really good today.”
  • Pete Kocefas, the owner of Sledheads of Frederic, said customers have given rave reports regarding the trail conditions, but have not encountered much traffic.

Safe Riding – remember safe riding starts with you!  Ride sober!

AVSA Board of Directors
align=”center”>Pres.-Rich Filley    V.P.-Tom Everly    Grooming & Treasure-Keith Miles
align=”center”>Safety-Art Fisette      Web Site-Rob Yon   Secretary-Mike Miller

B.O.D.-Bill Weaver   B.O.D.-Mike Brown    B.O.D.-Rob Tomlinson 

Contact via US mail at: AVSA, PO Box 1176, Grayling, MI 49738

Or visit us at: www.GoSledGrayling.org

                           Frequent our Business Members Whenever Possible!!
Airway Automation                     Fay’s Motel & Cottages              Grayling Generating Station        
Grayling Visitors Bureau             Jack Millikin, Inc. Excavating                   McLean’s Ace Hardware                        
Pointe North Motel                      Ramada Inn                                           Rich’s Cycle Service                               
River Country Motor Lodge         Woodland Motor Lodge                           Charlie’s County Corners

Sledheads of Frederic                 Frederic Inn Restaurant                          Days Inn of Grayling        

Groomers continue to run and trails are still in good to very good condition. Watch for icy corners.

9 & 10 weather: This morning things are cloudy with temperatures ranging from -1 to 21 degrees. Winds are out of the South/Southeast at 5-10mph. Overall this morning will be pretty quiet. Today will be cloudy with some snow starting to move in around 5 or 6 this evening. Winds will be breezy out of the South/Southeast at 8-18mph with highs in the low 20s to low 30s. Snow accumulations today will be light. Tonight will be snowy for the Eastern U.P. and parts of the Northern L.P. while the Central L.P. will see a touch of snow heading into tomorrow morning. 1?-3? will be possible by tomorrow morning for the Eastern U.P. while much of the Lower Peninsula will see an inch or two. It is possible to see 3? on the Lake Michigan shoreline by tomorrow morning. Overnight lows will be in the teens and 20s with winds out of the South/Southwest at 5-15mph.

Friday will bring some snow throughout the day with another inch or two possible for the U.P. and Northern L.P. Highs will be in the upper teens to upper 20s. Saturday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs ranging from 11 to 20 degrees. Sunday will be mostly sunny with highs again ranging from 11 to 21 degrees. Sunday night into Monday will bring in a system from the West/Northwest which will create sloppy conditions for Northern Michigan.

A stronger clipper system will move through Monday which will give us windy conditions and moderate to heavy snow at times. Highs will be in the low 20s to low 30s. This clipper system will move out Monday night leaving us with much quieter weather for Tuesday. Partly cloudy skies and warm temps will be in store for Tuesday with highs getting into the upper 20s to mid 30s. Wednesday will be cloudy with highs in the low 30s to maybe a low 40 reading! -Meteorologist Michael Stevens

Snowmobile trails are still in good to very good shape. Groomer driver Keith warns that some corners are icy, so slow down and be careful. Unless something changes, I won’t be updating again this week.

9 & 10 weather:
Snow has started to work into the US-10 and M-20 corridors of the Central L.P. Light to moderate snow will continue along M-20 while much lighter snow will continue along the US-10 corridor. The Northern L.P. and Eastern U.P. continue to be cloudy and quiet this morning with temperatures in the upper single digits to low 20s. They will be more around 5 to 15 degrees by daybreak. Today will be a day of clouds for most of us but snow will exit the Central L.P. around noon and some light lake effect may develop for the immediate Lake Michigan, Lake Superior and Lake Huron shorelines. Winds today will be out of the North at 5-15mph with occasional gusts around 18-20mph. Highs will range from 12-22 degrees. Tonight will be cloudy with a chance for light snow along the Lake Michigan and Lake Superior shorelines. Overnight lows will be in the single digits above zero.

Thursday will be gray with some light lake effect for areas along Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. Highs will be in the lower to upper teens. Friday will bring in much drier air and kill any lake snow showers that might be out there. Skies will be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the lower to upper teens. Saturday will be quiet to start and remain that way for the majority of the day. Skies will cloud up and light snow showers will start to move in late in the day. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s.

Sunday will be gray with some snow showers working through thanks to a weak low pressure system. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s. Monday will be gray with a chance for a bit of lake effect snow. Highs will be in the low teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be mostly to partly sunny as high pressure sets up shop right over us and highs will again be in the teens. -Meteorologist Michael Stevens

Weather Forecast
Today Monday Tuesday
It is forcast to be Rain at 11:00 PM EDT on April 20, 2014
Rain
66°/45°
It is forcast to be Rain at 11:00 PM EDT on April 21, 2014
Rain
64°/37°
It is forcast to be Mostly Cloudy at 11:00 PM EDT on April 22, 2014
Mostly Cloudy
46°/30°