Snowmobile conditions are still being rated as good to very good. Groomers are still on their regular schedule. The sunny days may have some negative effect on the trails, and watch out for icy corners.
9 & 10 weather:
Some clouds are lingering for the Central L.P. but they will be out of here early this afternoon. Overall today will be full of sunshine across Northern Michigan with highs ranging from 11 to 21 degrees. If any clouds do develop today they will be along the Lake Huron shoreline but I don’t foresee to many new clouds developing today. Tonight will be clear as high pressure remains in control of our weather. Clear skies and light winds means cold temperatures set back in for Northern Michigan. Another night of below zero to just above zero temps. Winds will be light out of the Northeast at 5-10mph.
Thursday will be another sunny to mostly sunny day with highs in the low 20s to low 30s with light winds. Clouds will start to move in ahead of our next system for Friday afternoon which means temps won’t be nearly as cold Thursday night and Friday morning. Friday will start off quiet but light snow will start to move in for the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s! Nearly average for Northern Michigan!
Saturday will bring a few light snow showers in the morning hours but skies will clear for the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the lower to middle 20s. Sunday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the lower to upper 20s. Monday will bring clouds with a chance of some light snow. Highs will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Tuesday will be cloudy with some snow and highs will be in the mid 20s to low 30s.
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Trails are still being groomed and continue to be in fair to good condition.
Weather Report, 9 & 10:
* Wind chill advisories for the entire area until 12pm Thursday. Winds chills could reach -20 or colder. Bitter cold air is set to push into the region today and last through Friday. Highs will generally be in the single digits with below zero lows and a steady wind keeping wind chills well below zero. If heading out, dress in layers and cover all exposed skin!
**Winter Weather Advisories for counties along and west of I-75 until 3pm Thursday because of a weak clipper system that will bring gusty winds, brutal cold and 1-3″ of snow with an isolated 4″ mark in spots. Blowing and drifting snow and brutal wind chills will be a concern tonight and tomorrow.
We’ve seen some clearer skies and sunshine this morning but that will not last long. Enjoy the sunshine while you can. Clouds will move in this afternoon and a clipper system will move in bringing snow late this afternoon and into tonight. Winds will be gusty today from the southwest at 10-25mph so blowing, drifting, and low visibility will be issues as this snow moves in. Temperatures will be cold today with highs only in the single digits to mid teens. Winds will make it feel even colder with most wind chills in the negatives. Snow will continue tonight as winds remain strong to contribute continuing issues with visibility, blowing, and drifting. Air temperatures tonight will be single digits on either side of 0 with wind chills well into the negatives.
Thursday will be the coldest day this week with highs only in the single digits and many areas of the U.P. struggling to reach positive numbers. Winds will remain gusty so wind chills will remain in the negatives. Lake effect snow will take over for Thursday. Friday will start dry for most with snow moving in for the evening and overnight hours and highs in the single digits to mid teens.
Snow will continue for Saturday with highs in the teens to low 20s. Sunday will see snow chances for our central lower counties with highs in the single digits to mid teens. Monday will be mostly cloudy with highs in the teens to low 20s. Teens to low 20s continue Tuesday with some more snowfall.
-Meteorologist Jessica Van Meter
The big rain/ice storm that was forecast turned out to be not as serious as predicted. Groomers are rating trails as fair to good with some thin spots from the warm temperatures and sun that we had earlier this week.
TV 9 & 10 weather: As of 9:30am we are seeing light to moderate snow take over Northern Michigan with winds out of the South at 20-40mph with gusts nearing 50mph. This will create many issues through the day and will turn light snow into near white out conditions. Temperatures are in the mid 20s to mid 30s but will fall into the low 20s to low 30s by this afternoon and evening. Today will be a windy day with some snow creating blowing and drifting conditions. Temps will fall through the day as cold air wraps around this very strong low pressure system. Snow totals will reach 2-4″ with isolated higher amounts by tonight and tomorrow morning for areas of the U.P. and West of I-75/US-127 in the Lower Peninsula. Winds today will be out of the South/Southwest at 20-40mph with gusts nearing 50mph. Tonight will bring partly to mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds and snow will start to wrap up by daybreak tomorrow. Overnight lows will be in the low double digits to upper teens. Winds will be out of the Southwest/West at 15-30mph.
Saturday will be windy with partly to mostly cloudy skies and just a chance for a light snow shower mainly in the Northern areas and near Lake Michigan. Some spots may catch some good sunshine especially closer to Lake Huron and inland for the Central L.P. Highs will be in the upper teens to mid 20s with gusty winds out of the West at 15-30mph. Sunday will be almost identical to Sunday except winds will be lighter with highs in the mid teens to mid 20s.
Monday will be mostly cloudy with some lake effect snow. Highs will range from 11 to 19 degrees. Tuesday will bring a chance for light snow with highs in the lower to upper teens. Wednesday and Thursday will both hold some snow with highs in the single digits to low teens! Cold air will return for late next week and next weekend!
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Trails are groomed and still in good shape. Stay tuned for information on how they make out after the projected storm passes.
TV 9 & 10 weather:
* As of 9:30am clouds are taking over Northern Michigan and wet heavy snow has moved into the Central L.P. but it changes over to rain/freezing rain very quickly. This will continue for areas of the Northern L.P. as well heading towards Noon. We will see some snow, rain and freezing rain this morning for areas of the Lower Peninsula but it will fizzle out before reaching the U.P. Temperatures this morning are in the mid teens to low 30s with winds out of the South at 5-10mph. The Eastern U.P. and Straits could catch some stray mixed showers and drizzle through the afternoon before the main part of this system arrives this evening. The main wave of this storm will arrive around 6pm for the Lower Peninsula giving us rain and freezing rain for evening commutes and then arriving by the late evening for the U.P. and Straits. Roads will turn very slick going into the night time hours and winds will start to pick up with gusts nearing 40-45mph going into tonight. Highs will be in the low 30s to low 40s this afternoon with winds out of the East/Southeast at 10-20mph.
Tonight will be a mess with rain, freezing rain and mixed showers until everything changes over to snow around 2am tomorrow morning. Winds will be out of the South/Southeast at 15-30mph with gusts nearing 40-45mph which will only add to the issues with some light ice accumulations. Some snow, gusty winds and slick roads will be the main issues tomorrow morning for commutes. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Some snow will continue throughout the day Friday with just an inch or two for most of the Lower Peninsula while the U.P. will see 2-4″ with gusty winds reducing visibilities and drifting snow. Winds will slowly turn Northwest as Friday moves on with gusts of 40-45mph. Highs will be in the low 20s to low 30s as temps slowly fall through the day. Saturday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a slight breeze and some snow lingering around. Highs will be in the lower to middle 20s. Sunday will be mostly to partly sunny with a chance for a flurry. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s.
Monday will be cloudy with a chance for some lake effect snow. Highs will be in the low teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs ranging from 10 to 20 degrees. Wednesday will bring some light snow showers with highs in the mid single digits to mid teens.
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens
AuSable Valley Snowmobile Association
February 2014 Newsletter
General Membership Meetings– are held on the First Thursday of every month beginning in October running through April at the Ramada Inn of Grayling starting at 7: pm. AVSA meetings are open to anyone who wishes to attend.
Our next meeting will be March 6, 2014.
Only one more meeting is scheduled for the 2013 – 2014 on April 3, 2014
Trail Activity Report –
- Groomers have been running nearly daily since December
- Fuel cost a major expense in grooming is averaging $2,000 weekly for the season
- Month of January grooming stats:
Miles Groomed – 1984
Volunteer hours Grooming – 336
Average Grooming speed – 5.9 mph
Fuel cost for 3 Groomers – $9259.
Old Man Winter Weather – Stats from NOAA
- Snow depth ranging from 20 to 26 inches
- Total snow fall to date ranging from 100 to 120 inches
Best season in years – The following are a few comments from a recent newspaper article:
- Early snow has kept plenty of snowmobiles buzzing through Grayling and Crawford County. The area had one of its busiest snowmobiling weekends of the season, especially with some people having an extra day off of work for the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday.
- Ben Smith, from Port Hope, said the trails were in good shape after he and a group of riders made a stop at a local eating establishment.
- Mark Skelton, of Mt. Pleasant, has a cottage on Higgins Lake, but always makes it a priority to stop in the community. “It’s some of the best riding I’ve seen in a couple of years,” Skelton said. “I probably put more miles on my sled by Christmas-time than I have in the past two years. That’s how good the snow has been.”
- Dan Huelsenbeck, of Ft. Wayne, Ind., said “Out in Camp Grayling, you can get into some virgin powder and it’s nice it’s been really good today.”
- Pete Kocefas, the owner of Sledheads of Frederic, said customers have given rave reports regarding the trail conditions, but have not encountered much traffic.
Safe Riding – remember safe riding starts with you! Ride sober!
AVSA Board of Directors
align=”center”>Pres.-Rich Filley V.P.-Tom Everly Grooming & Treasure-Keith Miles
align=”center”>Safety-Art Fisette Web Site-Rob Yon Secretary-Mike Miller
B.O.D.-Bill Weaver B.O.D.-Mike Brown B.O.D.-Rob Tomlinson
Contact via US mail at: AVSA, PO Box 1176, Grayling, MI 49738
Or visit us at: www.GoSledGrayling.org
Frequent our Business Members Whenever Possible!!
Airway Automation Fay’s Motel & Cottages Grayling Generating Station
Grayling Visitors Bureau Jack Millikin, Inc. Excavating McLean’s Ace Hardware
Pointe North Motel Ramada Inn Rich’s Cycle Service
River Country Motor Lodge Woodland Motor Lodge Charlie’s County Corners
Sledheads of Frederic Frederic Inn Restaurant Days Inn of Grayling
Groomers continue to run and trails are still in good to very good condition. Watch for icy corners.
9 & 10 weather: This morning things are cloudy with temperatures ranging from -1 to 21 degrees. Winds are out of the South/Southeast at 5-10mph. Overall this morning will be pretty quiet. Today will be cloudy with some snow starting to move in around 5 or 6 this evening. Winds will be breezy out of the South/Southeast at 8-18mph with highs in the low 20s to low 30s. Snow accumulations today will be light. Tonight will be snowy for the Eastern U.P. and parts of the Northern L.P. while the Central L.P. will see a touch of snow heading into tomorrow morning. 1?-3? will be possible by tomorrow morning for the Eastern U.P. while much of the Lower Peninsula will see an inch or two. It is possible to see 3? on the Lake Michigan shoreline by tomorrow morning. Overnight lows will be in the teens and 20s with winds out of the South/Southwest at 5-15mph.
Friday will bring some snow throughout the day with another inch or two possible for the U.P. and Northern L.P. Highs will be in the upper teens to upper 20s. Saturday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs ranging from 11 to 20 degrees. Sunday will be mostly sunny with highs again ranging from 11 to 21 degrees. Sunday night into Monday will bring in a system from the West/Northwest which will create sloppy conditions for Northern Michigan.
A stronger clipper system will move through Monday which will give us windy conditions and moderate to heavy snow at times. Highs will be in the low 20s to low 30s. This clipper system will move out Monday night leaving us with much quieter weather for Tuesday. Partly cloudy skies and warm temps will be in store for Tuesday with highs getting into the upper 20s to mid 30s. Wednesday will be cloudy with highs in the low 30s to maybe a low 40 reading! -Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Snowmobile trails are still in good to very good shape. Groomer driver Keith warns that some corners are icy, so slow down and be careful. Unless something changes, I won’t be updating again this week.
9 & 10 weather:
Snow has started to work into the US-10 and M-20 corridors of the Central L.P. Light to moderate snow will continue along M-20 while much lighter snow will continue along the US-10 corridor. The Northern L.P. and Eastern U.P. continue to be cloudy and quiet this morning with temperatures in the upper single digits to low 20s. They will be more around 5 to 15 degrees by daybreak. Today will be a day of clouds for most of us but snow will exit the Central L.P. around noon and some light lake effect may develop for the immediate Lake Michigan, Lake Superior and Lake Huron shorelines. Winds today will be out of the North at 5-15mph with occasional gusts around 18-20mph. Highs will range from 12-22 degrees. Tonight will be cloudy with a chance for light snow along the Lake Michigan and Lake Superior shorelines. Overnight lows will be in the single digits above zero.
Thursday will be gray with some light lake effect for areas along Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. Highs will be in the lower to upper teens. Friday will bring in much drier air and kill any lake snow showers that might be out there. Skies will be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the lower to upper teens. Saturday will be quiet to start and remain that way for the majority of the day. Skies will cloud up and light snow showers will start to move in late in the day. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s.
Sunday will be gray with some snow showers working through thanks to a weak low pressure system. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s. Monday will be gray with a chance for a bit of lake effect snow. Highs will be in the low teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be mostly to partly sunny as high pressure sets up shop right over us and highs will again be in the teens. -Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Groomers are running, there is lots of snow, trails are in very good condition and it’s going to warm up enough that you should be able to get a comfortable ride in this weekend. One quick favor – if anyone has photos of snowmobiling from the Grayling area and would be willing to share them, I would appreciate it. Please attach them to an email and send to email@example.com and just be sure that anyone whose face can be seen in the photos are okay with being shared. Thanks!
Weather from TV 9 & 10:
Pesky flurries continue to fall for upper terrain areas in the central portions of the Northern L.P. but will taper off later this morning and afternoon. Some will see skies turn partly sunny with highs in the mid teens to mid 20s. Winds will be out of the West/Southwest at 5-15mph. Tonight will be mostly clear to partly cloudy for the U.P. and Straits with overnight lows just below zero to just above zero. The Northern L.P. will be partly to mostly cloudy with lows ranging from 0 to 9 degrees. The Central L.P. will see mostly cloudy skies and a chance for a few light snow showers by daybreak. Overnight lows will be in the mid single digits to low double digits. Everyone will see light winds heading into Saturday.
Saturday will bring snow showers to the Lower Peninsula while the Eastern U.P. will see clouds through the day. Snow will be heaviest downstate but areas along the M-20 corridor could see 3-6″ by Saturday evening while most of the Northern L.P. and Central L.P. will see 2-4″ by Saturday evening. Many areas down by Lansing, Ann Arbor and Detroit will see amounts greater than 6″ so if you have any plans of heading downstate expect delays. The heaviest snow for our area will fall near Mt. Pleasant and Midland areas. Highs will be in the upper teens to mid 20s with winds mainly out of the East at 5-15mph.
Sunday will be cloudy with a chance for light snow up in the Eastern U.P. and Tip of the Mitt areas. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s. Monday will be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the mid teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the mid teens to low 20s. A light snow shower could develop for the Central L.P. and Northern L.P. but overall things will be pretty quiet. Wednesday will be cloudy with some snow showers that will clip Northern Michigan as a Nor’easter heads up the East Coast. Highs will be in the mid teens to mid 20s. Thursday will bring some lake effect snow showers with highs in the low double digits to upper teens.
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Groomers are running, there is lots of snow, trails are in very good condition and it’s going to warm up enough that you should be able to get a comfortable ride.
Weather from TV 9 & 10
Light to moderate lake effect continues for areas of the Northern L.P. and closer to Lake Michigan in the Central L.P. Temperatures this morning are ranging from -1 to 8 degrees with gusty West/Southwest winds at 12-25mph. Gusts will reach 30-35mph at times this morning causing many roads to drift in along with significantly reduced visibilities. Wind chills this morning are ranging from -6 to -23 degrees. Today will be a windy day with a touch of snow for areas closer to Lake Michigan this morning but skies will improve and turn mostly to partly sunny this afternoon. Winds will be out of the West/Southwest at 10-20mph with gusts around 30mph at times which will drift and blow snow all day. Highs today will be around 11 to 20 degrees with wind chills in the single digits. Tonight will be windy with winds out of the South at 10-20mph so more blowing and drifting roads and overnight lows will be much warmer! You will see lows bottom out around 9 to 18 degrees before they start to warm up heading into tomorrow morning. Wind chills will still be rather cold but they will improve tomorrow. Skies will be mostly cloudy with a chance of a few flurries.
Thursday will be a little breezy to start and remain a bit breezy as snow showers move in for the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the lower to upper 20s (Average!). Friday will be mostly sunny to partly sunny with highs in the low teens to low 20s. Saturday will be cloudy with a few light snow showers in the afternoon and evening hours. Sunday will be mostly to partly sunny across Northern Michigan with highs in the mid teens to low 20s. Monday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated snow showers. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s. Tuesday will be partly cloudy with highs in the mid teens to mid 20s.
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens
Groomers will run their normal weekend schedule. Trails are reported to be in good to very good condition. Beware of the really cold temperatures predicted for the weekend.
9 & 10 Weather:
Temperatures have bottomed out this morning at -13 to 10 degrees and now the winds are starting to pick up out of the Southwest. As daybreak approaches temperatures will continue to climb into the single digits and teens thanks to winds out of the Southwest at 10-20mph but this will also create below zero wind chills. Snow will start to move in later this morning. Today will be windy, snowy and a tricky day for travel. Winds will be out of the Southwest at 15-30mph with gusts up to 40mph later this afternoon and evening. Conditions will be blizzard like for many as snow starts to fall this afternoon and evening. Visibilities will be greatly reduced at times and travel will be heavily impacted. Winds will also take our air temperatures of teens and 20s and make them feel like single digits and below zero at times. Snow totals for today will be heaviest on the Lake Michigan shoreline with 3″-4″ likely for many areas along and West of US-131 by tonight while many areas along and East of I-75 will only see a inch or two by this evening. Highs today will be in the mid teens to mid 20s with winds out of the Southwest at 15-30mph with occasional gusts of 40mph.
Tonight will be snowy and blowing snow will also be an issue by daybreak Saturday. Overnight lows will be in the single digits to mid teens with winds out of the Southwest/Northwest at 8-18mph. Another 1″-3″ will be possible for areas along US-131 and West while areas along I-75 and East will only pick up another inch or so. Snow totals will be heaviest for areas West of M-37 with 6″+ likely by Saturday morning while areas from M-37 to US-131 will see 3″-6″ and areas along I-75 and East will see 1″-3″. The Eastern U.P. will see around 2″-5″ with isolated higher amounts near the bigger lakes.
Saturday will be breezy with highs in the low single digits to low teens with some lake effect snow showers setting up. The snow won’t be widespread or as heavy as today and tonights snow. Sunday will bring in a shot of snow as a weak low pressure system floats through Northern Michigan. Highs will be in the mid single digits to low double digits. Monday will bring lake effect snow showers and cold temperatures. Highs will range from -1 to 10 degrees.
Tuesday will bring more lake effect snow showers with highs in the low single digits to low double digits. Wednesday will be mostly to partly sunny for most while some light lake effect snow will hang around the bigger lakes. Highs will range from 7 to 17 degrees. Thursday will be cloudy with a chance for some snow in the U.P. and Northern L.P. Highs will be in the mid teens to low 20s.
-Meteorologist Michael Stevens